As Cyclone Montha churns in the Bay of Bengal and draws closer to the Andhra Pradesh coastline, Kerala has witnessed a significant increase in rainfall, particularly across its northern and central regions. This intensified rain began on Monday, October 27, 2025, and is expected to persist for the next two days, influenced by the powerful weather system.
Forecasters predict that Cyclone Montha will make landfall in Andhra Pradesh, specifically between Machilipatnam and Kalingapatnam, sometime on Tuesday evening or night. This landfall event is crucial for understanding the ongoing weather patterns in Kerala.
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) released a bulletin on Monday detailing the storm’s current position and projected path. Cyclone Montha is currently centered over the southwest and adjacent west-central Bay of Bengal. It is approximately 520 km east-southeast of Chennai, 570 km south-southeast of Kakinada (Andhra Pradesh), 600 km south-southeast of Visakhapatnam, 750 km south of Gopalpur (Odisha), and 850 km west of Port Blair (Andaman and Nicobar Islands). The IMD warns that the cyclone could strengthen into a severe cyclonic storm by Tuesday morning. When it crosses the Andhra Pradesh coast near Kakinada on the evening or night of October 28, it’s expected to still be a severe cyclonic storm, packing maximum sustained wind speeds of 90-100 kmph, with gusts potentially reaching up to 110 kmph.
In response to this significant weather system, several parts of Kerala are braced for isolated heavy to very heavy rainfall throughout Monday night and into Tuesday. A “Yellow Alert” has been issued for seven districts, stretching from Thiruvananthapuram to Ernakulam, indicating a high likelihood of isolated heavy rainfall in these areas. Fortunately, meteorologists anticipate that the intensity of these rains will gradually lessen once Cyclone Montha makes its anticipated landfall along the Andhra Pradesh coast on Tuesday evening or night.
Earlier on Monday, north and central Kerala already experienced substantial heavy rain, accompanied by strong, gusty winds, signaling the storm’s initial impact on the region.