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Home Education

Is the American Dream Fading for Indian Students? China Outpaces India in US Student Visas

October 12, 2025
in Education
Reading Time: 4 min

The United States saw a notable decrease in international student arrivals this August, with China securing more than twice the student visas compared to India. Official data from the National Travel and Tourism Office reveals a substantial 19% year-on-year drop in overall international student entries during what is typically the busiest month.

This downturn is largely attributed to heightened visa scrutiny implemented during the Trump administration. The impact was particularly severe for students hailing from Asia, Africa, and the Middle East. While the figures encompass both new and returning students, many already residing in the US reportedly chose to forgo summer travel abroad, fearing potential complications with re-entry visas.

US student visa drop hits India harder than China
US student visa drop hits India harder than China, here’s how it affects international students. (AI Image)

Visa Approvals: India Sees Sharp Decline, China Remains Strong

During August, a striking 86,647 student visas were granted to students from mainland China, significantly more than double the number issued to Indian students. According to reports from the Associated Press, Indian student visa approvals plummeted by 44.5% year-on-year. Historically, India had been closing the gap with China in terms of students heading to the US, but it now faces the most substantial proportional decline among all major countries sending students.

Further analysis reveals a 33% decrease in student arrivals from Africa, a 24% drop from Asia, and a 17% reduction from the Middle East. India, traditionally a leading source of international students for the US, experienced an exceptionally steep decline of 45%, while China’s student arrival figures demonstrated remarkable stability by comparison.

Policy Changes and Travel Restrictions Create Turmoil

A significant setback occurred in late May when the US State Department temporarily halted visa interview appointments for international students. While interviews eventually resumed three weeks later, they came with stringent new vetting procedures, including compulsory screening of applicants’ social media profiles. Clay Harmon, Executive Director of the Association of International Enrollment Management, emphasized to the Associated Press that the timing of this pause caused the ‘maximum possible impact’ on student visa issuance for the crucial autumn semester.

Adding to the challenges, the Trump administration enacted a travel ban in June, targeting 19 countries, predominantly in Africa, Asia, and the Middle East. Unsurprisingly, these very regions subsequently reported the steepest drops in student arrivals, as highlighted by the Associated Press.

Political Climate and Soaring Costs Deter Aspirants

Higher education consultants are observing a growing hesitation among families regarding US university applications. Zeynep Bowlus, an Istanbul-based consultant, shared with the Associated Press that many families are questioning the long-term value of a US degree, citing discouragement from escalating tuition fees and unpredictable immigration policies.

One poignant example is Sara, an Iranian graduate who had secured a fully funded PhD admission at the University of Iowa. Due to visa processing delays and the imposition of new travel bans, she opted to defer her admission. Speaking anonymously to the Associated Press, Sara confirmed that she has now shifted her focus, applying to universities in Germany instead.

A Wider Global Shift in Student Preferences

Amid the ongoing uncertainties surrounding US student visas, there’s a noticeable surge in interest from international applicants towards countries like the United Kingdom and various regional universities across Asia. Elisabeth Marksteiner, a higher education consultant in Cambridge, advises families to approach US university admissions with increased prudence, always having alternative plans in place.

While global international student enrollment had shown signs of recovery post-Covid-19, these latest figures indicate a concerning reversal. This trend is primarily fueled by persistent visa obstacles and a discernible evolution in worldwide student mobility patterns, suggesting a significant reassessment of traditional study destinations.

Ready to navigate complex global education policies? Secure your overseas future and get expert guidance now!

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