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India’s Service Sector: A Boom Hiding a Deepening Jobs Crisis

October 29, 2025
in Education
Reading Time: 4 min

The Services Sector: Growth vs. Reality

India’s services sector has long been hailed as the primary engine of economic growth. However, a recent assessment reveals a sobering reality. Although it contributes to more than half of the national output, it employs less than a third of the total workforce, exposing a significant structural imbalance in India’s development narrative.

A new report from NITI Aayog, titled ‘India’s Services Sector: Insights from Employment Trends and State-Level Dynamics’, indicates that service sector employment increased to 29.7% in 2023-24 from 26.9% in 2011-12, generating approximately 40 million new jobs over six years. Despite this growth, its share in employment remains considerably lower than the global average of 50%, suggesting what the Aayog describes as a ‘slower structural transition’.

The Paradox of Growth

The report starkly highlights a familiar paradox: robust economic output growth without a corresponding increase in quality jobs. The services sector now accounts for about 55% of India’s Gross Value Added (GVA), yet a majority of the employment it creates is informal and offers low wages.

NITI Aayog emphasizes that this ‘disconnect between growth and employment’ is the core challenge for India’s services-led development. A substantial portion of the new employment has emerged in sectors like retail trade and transport, which, while essential for livelihoods, provide limited opportunities for career advancement.

In contrast, modern services such as information technology, finance, and professional services are experiencing rapid expansion, particularly in states like Karnataka, Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, and Telangana. These innovation hubs generate high-value output but employ relatively fewer individuals, further exacerbating the divide between high-productivity and low-productivity jobs.

Uneven Transitions

The report also reveals widespread regional and demographic disparities. In urban centers, over 60% of workers are employed in services, starkly contrasting with less than 20% in rural areas.

Gender gaps are equally pronounced. Only 10.5% of rural women work in services, compared to 60% in urban areas. Even when women participate, they are predominantly relegated to low-value, informal roles. The Aayog attributes this to systemic barriers in education, mobility, and access to digital resources.

Furthermore, the report cautions against a ‘growing mismatch’ between the rising levels of education among the workforce and the quality of available jobs, indicating that skill development programs are not adequately addressing contemporary labor market demands.

Leading States vs. Lagging States

Maharashtra, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, and Telangana exemplify states that leverage strong institutions, digital infrastructure, and a symbiotic relationship between services and manufacturing. Their vibrant service economies attract significant investment and skilled talent, positioning them as engines of regional development.

Conversely, states like Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, and other northern and eastern regions remain heavily reliant on traditional, low-productivity sectors. The Aayog warns that if these disparities persist without intervention, they could intensify inequality and impede India’s broader transition toward higher-value employment.

The Path Forward: A Policy Blueprint

To address these critical gaps, NITI Aayog proposes a comprehensive four-part policy framework. It advocates for the formalization and enhanced social protection for gig workers, self-employed individuals, and employees within micro, small, and medium enterprises (MSMEs). Additionally, it stresses the importance of targeted skill development and digital inclusion initiatives for women and rural youth, alongside strategic investments in green and emerging sectors.

Crucially, the policy also calls for balanced regional growth by establishing new service hubs in Tier-2 and Tier-3 cities. Diversifying beyond major metropolitan areas, the report argues, is essential for a more equitable and widespread transformation of India’s services sector.

Towards an Inclusive Transformation

A complementary report by NITI Aayog, ‘India’s Services Sector: Insights from GVA Trends and State-Level Dynamics’, highlights that services now constitute 55% of the GVA in 2024-25, up from 51% in 2013-14. While regional disparities have shown a slight increase, there are early indications that ‘structurally lagging states are beginning to catch up,’ suggesting nascent signs of economic convergence.

Nonetheless, the fundamental challenge persists. India’s services sector embodies both tremendous progress and inherent instability, functioning as a powerful growth engine that has yet to consistently deliver secure, well-compensated jobs for millions of its citizens.

As NITI Aayog concludes, India’s imperative is not merely to expand its services economy, but to ensure that its growth translates into dignified work, robust worker protection, and a reduction in regional inequalities. The true strength of the sector will ultimately be measured not solely by its output, but by the quality of livelihoods it sustains across the nation.

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