Hurricane Melissa is rapidly intensifying and is on track to become a rare Category 5 storm as it heads towards Jamaica. Forecasters warn of life-threatening flash floods and landslides. As of 06:00 GMT, the cyclone had sustained winds of up to 120 mph (195 km/h) and is moving northwest across the Caribbean. The US National Hurricane Center (NHC) anticipates landfall by Tuesday, warning of potential power outages and infrastructure damage due to expected heavy rainfall of up to 30 inches (76cm) and sea surges as high as 13ft (4m). Residents in affected areas have been urged to seek shelter immediately.
Melissa marks the 13th hurricane of the current Atlantic season, which typically concludes in November. A Category 5 hurricane, the most intense classification, features winds of at least 157 mph.
Although Melissa is projected to slightly weaken to a Category 4 storm before reaching Jamaica, the NHC stressed that the impacts would still be severe. “Preparations should be rushed to completion,” they advised, as tropical storm-force winds and heavy rain are expected to arrive well in advance of the storm’s direct impact, potentially affecting the capital, Kingston.
The meteorological agency highlighted the risk of “catastrophic and life-threatening flash flooding and numerous landslides” from the prolonged period of damaging winds and heavy rainfall.
Jamaican Prime Minister Andrew Holness acknowledged the public’s anxiety, stating, “I know that there are many Jamaicans who are anxious, who are very concerned, and rightfully so: you should be concerned. But the best way to address anxiety and any nervousness and concern is to be prepared.” Residents are advised to secure their homes and gather essential supplies.
Similar warnings are in effect for parts of Haiti, including the capital Port au Prince, the Dominican Republic, and eastern Cuba, with similar conditions expected by mid-next week. Tragically, two deaths have already been reported in Haiti due to landslides caused by the hurricane, according to the nation’s Civil Protection agency.
Current forecasts suggest Melissa will pass over Cuba by Wednesday before moving into the Atlantic. By the time it reaches Cuba, it is expected to have diminished to a Category 3 storm.
While direct links between climate change and individual weather events are complex, scientists note that warmer oceans are contributing to more frequent and intense extreme weather phenomena like hurricanes.
Leading up to this year’s Atlantic hurricane season, the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration had predicted an above-normal level of activity, citing warmer sea temperatures and the potential for stronger monsoon activity in West Africa, a common breeding ground for Atlantic storms.
If you are in the region, tell us about your preparations for the hurricane.