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Gold and Silver Futures Recede from Record Peaks Amid Profit-Taking and U.S. Shutdown Concerns

October 3, 2025
in Business
Reading Time: 3 min

Gold prices saw a notable dip of ₹643, settling at ₹1,16,945 per 10 grams in futures trading on Friday, October 3, 2025. This retreat from its record high was largely driven by investors locking in profits, coupled with prevailing concerns about a potential U.S. government shutdown and the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy outlook.

On the Multi Commodity Exchange (MCX), December delivery gold futures fell by ₹643, or 0.55%, to ₹1,16,945 per 10 grams, with a turnover of 15,733 lots. This marked an end to gold’s impressive five-day winning streak, which saw the contract hit a lifetime high of ₹1,18,444 per 10 grams just two days prior on Wednesday.

Similarly, the February 2026 contract for gold futures also decreased by ₹646, or 0.54%, reaching ₹1,18,213 per 10 grams. In the previous trading session, this contract had soared to an all-time peak of ₹1,19,674 per 10 grams.

Darshan Desai, CEO of Aspect Bullion & Refinery, commented on the situation: “Gold prices saw mild profit-taking on Friday, following a sharp rally of nearly 50% so far this year. Despite this pause, the yellow metal remains on track for its seventh consecutive weekly gain.”

Desai further elaborated that while technical indicators suggest gold prices are currently in an ‘overbought’ territory and might be vulnerable to a short-term correction, the ongoing uncertainty surrounding the U.S. government shutdown and its potential implications for Federal Reserve policy could mitigate any significant downward pressure from a strengthening U.S. dollar. “At these elevated levels, investors booked partial profits, with an eye on re-entering during price correction. Lower levels are likely to attract renewed buying interest, particularly from Exchange Traded Fund investors and central banks,” he added.

Commodity markets had remained closed on Thursday due to public holidays, Gandhi Jayanti and Dussehra.

Silver also experienced a notable pullback after achieving a fresh record peak earlier in the week. December delivery silver futures plummeted by ₹2,170, or 1.55%, to ₹1,42,550 per kilogram across 19,818 lots. The contract had previously hit an unprecedented ₹1,45,715 per kilogram on Wednesday.

The March 2026 silver contract mirrored this trend, tumbling by ₹1,996, or 1.36%, to ₹1,44,266 per kilogram in 2,400 lots, after touching a high of ₹1,47,784 per kilogram in the preceding trade.

Manav Modi, Analyst for Precious Metal Research at Motilal Oswal Financial Services, explained: “Silver prices witnessed profit booking after hitting all-time highs in the domestic markets. The U.S. government’s ongoing shutdown extended into a second day on Thursday, potentially delaying key economic data such as the non-farm payrolls report.”

Globally, gold futures were trading lower at $3,867.15 per ounce on Friday, pulling back from a record $3,923.30 per ounce achieved in the previous session. In contrast, December delivery silver futures surprisingly edged up by almost 1% to $46.79 per ounce, showing signs of recovery after recently hitting $48.01 per ounce.

Jigar Trivedi, Senior Research Analyst at Reliance Securities, noted: “Silver is trading near $47 an ounce but remains on track for a seventh consecutive weekly gain, supported by expectations of further U.S. rate cuts and uncertainty from the government shutdown.” He further stated that recent U.S. macroeconomic data had strengthened market participants’ expectations for additional monetary easing, with traders now fully pricing in a 25 basis point rate cut this month, and another by December.

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